Red flashing Pacific super El Niño may shake up global weather

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Higher sea temperatures and a current decline in trade winds signal a major climate event, some weather forecasters say, which could mean a hostile environment with extreme weather and huge economic shocks.

NOAA and the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) have issued new general alerts, noting that conditions could deteriorate as a result of an unprecedented heat event taking place across the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Trade winds that have flowed across the tropical Pacific Ocean have dramatically weakened, and accompanying that has been an equal magnitude surge of warm ocean moving across the Pacific to the west.

The Premier Climate model forecast says there is an 80% or greater chance of a “very strong” El Nino event, and even stronger events may follow. Meteorologists and others are noting that the strong feedback between the ocean and the atmosphere has crossed a critical threshold, increasing the likelihood of as intense a climate change event as ever recorded in history. The next “super El Nino” and ocean heat event could significantly challenge societies worldwide, in both meteorological and macroeconomic terms. Changes in the jet stream pattern are expected to drive high-intensity weather extremes. Torrential rainfall is expected on the western coast of North and South America and intense droughts in Southeast Asia, Australia, and southern Africa.

The Premier Climate model forecast says there is an 80% or greater chance of a “very strong” El Nino event, and even stronger events may follow. Meteorologists and others are noting that the strong feedback between the ocean and the atmosphere has crossed a critical threshold, increasing the likelihood of as intense a climate change event as ever recorded in history. The next “super El Nino” and ocean heat event could significantly challenge societies worldwide, in both meteorological and macroeconomic terms. Changes in the jet stream pattern are expected to drive high-intensity weather extremes. Torrential rainfall is expected on the western coast of North and South America and intense droughts in Southeast Asia, Australia, and southern Africa.

The ocean heat event is predicted to have a devastating impact on ecosystems marine mammals across the globe will suffer mass bleaching of coral reefs due to record sea surface temperatures.Tooth and transient climate challenge: At the same time, the industry economic adaptation to extreme weather scares the emergence of a wave of "climateflation" or inflation because of climate change water shortages in key agricultural regions may lower the supply of major staples such as rice, sugarcane, palm oil and coffee, while low but insufficient water level along key shipping routes can block traffic in major shipping lanes such as the Panama CanalA combined measure droughts affecting agricultural supply chain and low water levels blocking shipping routes will increase the likelihood of commodity prices exceeding 15 percentTo prevent a global supply chain breakdown emergency services and central banks in the world are calling on governments to take emergency action to ensure the safe delivery of essential goods.