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Single-line fuel tanker carriage stumbles, causing road rage in Hormuz Strait once again

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Buffer Stocks Gone: International Energy Agency’s emergency reserves and private shock absorbers that buffered earlier war shocks have been almost entirely depleted and there is no margin left for safeguard.

The global energy market is in crisis. The ceasefire between Iran and the US that kept the vital Strait of Hormuz open is over. That 40-mile channel is duly recapped, by a fresh military blow-up and a US block of Iranian oil. After a brief respite in price, crude futures prices have spiked, once again, with Brent crude futures tumbling over $85 a barrel, nears an almost 10% gain in just the past few days.The consensus among analysts is that the buffer supply buffer saw oil prices ease briefly on the scallop of diplomatic negotiations.

Energy trackers are worried because unlike the earlier spurts when the tensions went into overdrive, there is no longer any pieces of public shock absorbers left and the private ones have been used. The International Energy Agency already has finished almost 75% of the 400-million-bbl reserve chest and the rest of the stock of private inventories are either 400 million barrels of the excess crude oil stockpiled by commercial firms now drained out into the market.

Energy traders are stating how badly the rest of the physical market is attacked, citing wholesale diesel prices for instance which have spiked ahead of warmer weather in the Middle-East where major refiners are based.

As for the price shock, the refined fuel markets are hit hardest with diesel prices spiking retailally record before the summer, fuel demand peaks in countries such as Saudi Arabia, which can manage some of the traffic around the strait through pipelines into the red sea but does not divert the bulk oil out of Iraq, Kuwait and the field as well. If the blockade continued for months, "it's a zero error line," "the maddening silo of fuel price inflation, it will be even worse.

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✍️Aditya

Scholar from St. Xavier's College Mumbai, INDIA

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